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The checkered history of predicting the future-e.g., ""Man will never fly""-has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of futures and design adaptive strategies to be robust across them. Using sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods apply to LTPA and a wide range of dec

Decision making. --- Information technology. --- System analysis. --- System analysis --- Decision making --- Information technology --- Social Sciences --- Civil & Environmental Engineering --- Engineering & Applied Sciences --- Social Sciences - General --- Operations Research --- #SBIB:033.AANKOOP --- #SBIB:303H15 --- #SBIB:303H13 --- Network theory --- Systems analysis --- System theory --- Mathematical optimization --- IT (Information technology) --- Technology --- Telematics --- Information superhighway --- Knowledge management --- Deciding --- Decision (Psychology) --- Decision analysis --- Decision processes --- Making decisions --- Management --- Management decisions --- Choice (Psychology) --- Problem solving --- Methoden en technieken van de bestuurswetenschappen --- Methoden en technieken: politieke wetenschappen --- Analyse de systèmes --- Prise de décision --- Technologie de l'information --- Network analysis --- Network science